This thoughtful paper provides a historical perspective of the Hedge Fund markets performance in varying economic clients and relates what has been learned in the past to the current market conditions since the Recession of 2008.
In this market forecast, Atlantic Trust discusses presents the issues that will have the most impact on the financial markets over the next 12 months, including: The EconomyU.S. is posting impressive growth as the expansion broadens.Many other countries are struggling with too little growth, too much inflation or both.The collapse in oil pri...
Altantic Trust Private Wealth Management provides insight into the financial markets in its Economic and Investment Overview for the second quarter of 2014, some highlights include:- Economy: Mostly good newsU.S.: Q1 likely weakest quarter of the year. 3% real GDP growth expected for full year.- Policy: Fed action unfolding as expectedFed policy re...
The Russian Ruble has collapsed. Its economy appears to be headed into a recession. Oil prices have plunged. The US Dollar (USD) has surged. Emerging markets debt has grown significantly since the “Great Recession.” Are we on the verge of a repeat of 1997 and 1998 when we saw a surge of defaults by the countries collectively called...
This commentary provides updated data on the state of the global economy in the First Quarter of 2015, including: Recent economic data showed economic growth cooled in the first quarter impacted by a pull back in activity by energy companies, rough winter weather and a strong US dollar. The US economy expanded at a 2.2% annualized pace i...
Change is in the wind. After a challenging 2015, the investment landscape for 2016 will be defined by a new course for monetary policy and political leadership, a new primary catalyst for stocks and an altered roadmap for credit markets, and for energy. Looking ahead at these asset classes—U.S. equities, international equities, fixed income, ...
Volatility in global equities subsided in the Fourth Quarter of 2015; however, 2016 will likely see multiple spikes due to the follow-through from low oil prices and concerns over China. Other current and fluctuating conditions of global capital markets add to the volatility. Amidst the turmoil, growth should stabilize in 2016 with the impact of Ch...
For most financial assets 2015 was a challenging environment, with equities seeing negative or muted performance and fixed income facing its worst year since 2013 as yields slowly moved higher in anticipation of the Fed rate hike in December. Some of the macro themes of 2015 (a strong dollar and monetary tightening in the U.S.) will carry forward i...
Important insights lie in the trends hidden under asset class classification of the hedge fund industry, which is expected to grow 25% annually in the next five years from $0.5 to $1.4 trillion dollars. To spot the trends, the asset categories should be useful for family offices to gain meaningful insights of major allocation shifts. A good place t...
Global equity markets rebounded sharply in October 2015 after the third quarter sell-off due to accommodative monetary policies and some better economic and earnings news. The gains faded late in the quarter on further weak data from China, weak exports, and more stress in the energy and commodity sectors due to oversupply mostly extracted by new t...
During uncertain times, it is easy to get caught up in the latest headlines proclaiming a possible U.S. recession. Although many variables such as growth in hourly earnings or high yield spreads over Treasury bonds have been shown to “predict” recessions in advance, the slope of the yield curve remains a powerful indicator of what lies ...
The venture ecosystem in Israel is undergoing an evolution as entrepreneurs are flourishing throughout the country. In November 2015 there were 6,000 start-ups in Israel garnering funding from a new generation of venture funds made up of both spin-outs from existing firms and new VCs. The combination of a vibrant culture of entrepreneurship, suppor...
Markets have had a very turbulent start to 2016, and the global economy faces a number of clear challenges. The implications of four interlinked issues—China, crude oil, credit markets, and central banks—are unsettling capital markets. The global economy faces several challenges, but it is continuing to grow, and there are reasons to ma...
The easy investment returns enjoyed since the end of the financial crisis have succumbed to the pressures of elevated valuations, Federal Reserve tightening and oil price declines, which have created significant volatility, bearish sentiment and losses among investors. This changed investment environment has caused a wave of worries, with many wond...
Wealthy investors are in a strong, positive frame of mind as the recession recedes and prospects for the economy and financial markets improve. Yet, despite this growing confidence, they face significant, unrecognized challenges in their investment and wealth strategies. This study reveals the risks wealthy individuals face as they adapt to a chall...