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In seeking to evaluate the risk and return potential for a range of asset classes within the anticipated investment environment, there is caution given the deceleration in the economic cycle indicators that are monitored. A recession is not anticipated in 2020, but the conditions could change rapidly and investors should be prepared to make adjustm...

Although climate risk is likely underestimated by financial markets, investors would be wise to consider it in their investment decision-making process. Given the expected future repricing of this risk, there is a window of opportunity for investors to get ahead of the curve. This paper provides a high-level overview of the current climate sci...

In 2020, we see a slightly better economic growth environment but modest capital market returns relative to the stellar gains of 2019. The global economy and markets will take two steps forward as stimulus measures lead to firming global growth, but policy uncertainty will cause markets to periodically take a step back. The U.S. election will come ...

The pursuit of forecasting what opportunities and obstacles lie ahead takes added importance when looking at a new year and new decade to come. What follows are some thoughts about the opportunities and challenges before us, along with the identification of significant trends that will guide our analysis and portfolio recommendations. In addition, ...

The familiar cliché that hindsight is 20/20 seems particularly apt as we step into the year 2020 and look back on the decade of the 2010s. Throughout the past 10 years, we returned time and time again to principles and themes that we considered vital for success not just in this decade, but any decade. Revisiting the core principles and themes, whi...

Hackers and cybercriminals are becoming increasingly sophisticated with their attacks. With more intelligent and connected devices, as well as the importance of a person’s digital identity, cyber insurance is a vital component of an individual or a family’s coverage.

The insurance marketplace conditions are changing throughout the U.S., particularly for those with homes and other property in catastrophe-prone locations. The results outlined in this study highlight factors to consider when devising an approach to protect family members, properties, and reputational concerns in the face of current and future thre...

The equity markets took a painful hit at the end of February this year as fears about the coronavirus drove investors out of stocks and into correction territory. As one would expect, the impact and outlook for each asset class varies based upon the underlying exposures, market drivers, and pricing dynamics. We summarize the developments surroundin...

To adapt to the unprecedented pace of change across the tax landscape, companies must focus on embracing a total tax liability mindset—a holistic understanding of the sum of all taxes across the entirety of the organization. Once viewed as a compliance-driven, back-office function, effective tax planning is now crucial to business perfor...

As the number of reported cases of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) continues to rise, employers are increasingly confronted with the possibility of an outbreak in the workplace. Learn how COVID-19 continues to affect employers' disease prevention efforts and potential compliance issues and legal obligations.

Much is being said about the demise of globalization, but its death notice is premature. It also significantly underestimates the durability of the international institutions constructed post-WWII and how the digital economy will effectively blunt this latest round of temporary global protectionism. In this issue of The Real Economy, we explor...

Businesses around the world are dealing with the spread of the coronavirus as ripple effects from the disease outbreak are expected to further choke global supply chains and hinder workforce mobility. Even if businesses currently lack an emergency plan to respond to the situation, they can still take steps to mitigate risk and minimize negative eff...

The evolution of the Coronavirus has led to more complex questions than answers and every day brings new developments on how to handle related losses. As the insurance world reacts to the pandemic crisis, here are the latest takeaways on workers’ compensation, business interruption/property claims, liability, cyber, and event cancellations.

What are the top workplace wellness trends affecting the health and productivity of your workforce—and what can you do to help? In today’s increasingly competitive job market, companies are shifting their focus away from traditional benefit plans to a more holistic approach to total wellbeing. With an emphasis on influencing culture and...

After three false starts, the hibernating bear has come out roaring with the sharpest peak-to-trough decline in global equities on record. Governments, business leaders, and individuals are putting commerce on hold and accepting the cost of a likely recession to curtail the spread of COVID-19. The recession period is expected to be brief, provided ...