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Investing on the basis of fundamentals has long been a cornerstone for prudent investors. However, the rash of extreme geopolitical events over the past several years has tried investors' patience, riled portfolios and turned sound expectations on their heads. In this white paper, Greycourt & Co., Inc. examines the factors that have contributed to ...

In the fourth quarter 2012 issue of Global Foresight, Rockefeller & Co. focuses on the recent QE3 (quantitative easing) announcement by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and the related inflation and market implications, along with a discussion of the current geopolitical overlay. David Harris, CFA, Chief Investment Officer, leads with a hi...

The Fiscal Cliff is a mix of laws and measures that will be triggered automatically if Congress takes no action between now and year-end on reducing U.S. debt. The resulting forced austerity will reinstate policies that will reduce the 2013 budget deficit by $607 billion (roughly 4% of current U.S. GDP). Yet if the U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio falls fro...

Many people are aware that the current federal gift and estate tax exemption of $5 million is scheduled to revert to $1 million at the end of 2012. Not only is the exemption set to drop, tax rates are slated to increase from 35 percent to a range that tops out at 55 percent. This means that a single person who makes a $5 million gift on December 31...

When real estate property values, such as housing, are increasing at such a rapid rate that price levels become unsustainable (typically as a function of replacement value, affordability, rental equivalency rates, etc.), a real estate bubble occurs. The consequences of a real estate bubble consist of an inevitable plummet in values and general econ...

This paper provides an analysis of the new 3.8% Medicare surtax set to take effect in 2013 and recommends planning strategies to reduce its impact. Atlantic Trust suggests several vehicles to mitigate the effect of this tax, including tax-exempt bonds, rental real estate, S-Corporations, Roth IRA conversions, charitable remainder trusts and install...

It has been more than three years since the enactment of Sec. 877A, which introduced a mark-to-market tax on U.S. persons expatriating on or after June 16, 2008. Its introduction has impacted the decisions of many to attain a green card or citizenship. It can be costly for wealthy individuals to become a covered expatriate (as described below)...

Time is of the essence. Significant wealth planning opportunities are set to expire at the end of 2012. It is critical for wealthy families that have taken a wait and see approach to the future of gift and estate taxes to formulate a plan now. Developing and implementing well thought out and properly structured wealth planning strategies takes mont...

This report sheds light on a little-noticed wrinkle triggered by possible new 2013 rate changes that will make some taxpayers no longer subject to the Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT). Wealthy taxpayers currently paying AMT may see their effective marginal rates rise by as much as 12.5 percentage points under the law now scheduled to go into effect in...

Many will recall Carmen Reinhart’s and Kenneth Rogoff’s "This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly," which had a significant impact on the public discussion over the relationship between debt and economic growth following its publication in 2011. In this article, Rockefeller & Co. Senior Advisor and Economist Matthew D. Gelfand dis...

The new landscape of energy in the United States — in particular, domestic oil and gas — is changing the national discourse on “energy independence,” influencing our economic recovery, and offering opportunities for discriminating investors. This paper takes a closer look at what might be a new renaissance in oil and gas.

This presentation details the key findings of a study looking at the effect of private equity on employment.

As shown by local bans in the US and Canada, national moratoriums in France and Bulgaria, and tighter regulation in Australia and the UK, the global anti-fracking movement has mounted an effective campaign against the extraction of unconventional gas through hydraulic fracturing (‘fracking’). Meanwhile, the oil and gas industry has largely failed t...

In the past year, the IRS sharply increased the number of returns it audited, particularly those of high-income earners. According to a government official, this is an effort “to build public confidence in the tax system, encouraging voluntary compliance” and to make sure that both the low end and high end of the income scale are subjec...

One of the potential benefi ts of wealth planning is the opportunity for families to have meaningful conversations about their hopes, dreams, legacy wishes, and more. These types of planning discussions can help to create family intimacy, and help build relationship capital for the future. In this white paper, Fidelity advisor Dr. Timothy G. Habber...