Non-U.S. Investing in a Fragmenting World

Looking at the data and macro trends, the quantitative insights suggest the conditions underpinning more than a decade of non-U.S. equity underperformance may be starting to shift. The three drivers behind it are (1) tariffs are weighing on U.S. household income and may curb consumption; (2) fiscal and economic policy abroad is becoming more proactive; and (3) macro conditions are reshaping relative growth prospects. As growth differentials narrow, there are compelling valuations—and potential capital flows—outside the United States.