Rising global rates, a strong U.S. dollar, and tightening liquidity conditions have weighed on sentiment in emerging markets (EMs). But EMs may be regaining their footing as easier monetary conditions could drive growth in 2024 for both equities and debt alike. Any recovery, however, is unlikely to be uniform. As a new cycle unfolds, we expect the heterogeneous dynamics and secular trends that drove performance in 2023 to continue to shape market terrain in 2024.
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Sound money is the result when interest rates are above the rate of inflation, a development that is expected to persist in the years ahead. In the meantime, the transition to a higher interest rate environment has no doubt challenged investors, who have endured historical losses in bonds and high volatility in stocks. But make no mistake: This structural shift is the single best economic and financial development in the last 20 years. Looking forward and as shown in this report, investors will benefit from a return to sound money.
FOX’s annual Global Investment Survey was divided into two segments, launched in February and March 2023, respectively, to the FOX community. The surveys fielded until the end of April 2023. Please note that the 2023 FOX Global Investment Survey data pertains to investment activities and performance during calendar year 2022.
President Joe Biden’s executive order targeting U.S. investments in certain industries in China has raised questions about its impact on global markets and investment portfolios. In examining its potential effects, NEPC’s Senior Investment Director, Jennifer Appel, shares her insights on what the executive order means for investors. She also provides perspectives on Chinese private markets, China’s debt levels, the high unemployment rate and uncertain economy, and the long-term views on investing in China.
As we head into the second half of the year, questions surrounding the global economy and financial markets remain. Is the U.S. headed for a recession? Will there be secondary effects from divergent Global Central Bank policies? Does the 2024 political cycle matter? And importantly, how should family offices invest capital given the current and future global market dynamics? Join Fiducient Advisors’ Brad Long, CFA, Chief Investment Officer and Adam Newell, CFA, CFP, Director of Family Office Consulting, for their mid-year market updates and valuable investment insights.
Get up to speed on the latest results and relevant themes from FOX's Family Office Benchmarking Survey, Global Investment Survey, and Multi-Family Office Survey. Hilary Leav, Director, Insights & Research, FOX David Toth, President, Membership, FOX
FROM “POLYCRISIS” to “POLYOPPORTUNITIES”: In October 2022, in an article in the Financial Times 1, historian Adam Toze brought back into popular use the term “polycrisis” to describe the situation the world was in, with several crises building each other to create an intertwined web of complex disruptions.
Bank failures, tighter monetary policy, and rising fear of a “hard landing” have heightened economic uncertainty. Despite these challenges, inflation is subsiding, consumer spending is stable, and the labor market remains strong. In light of the market turbulence, investors are reacting to any news, positive or negative, in search of clarity about the future.
While many family offices stay cognizant of continued volatility as investors, they also are continuing to search for the best investments in public and private markets. This report—based on 188 family office respondents from 32 countries—provides a comprehensive picture of how family offices view the world and the key factors driving their investment strategies. It also includes key findings around diversification, access to deal flow, and new talent acquisition.
Join FOX team members for opening Forum remarks, updates on the year to come, and a sneak peek into preliminary Global Investment Survey results. David Toth, President of Membership, FOX