The 2024 economic environment presented a complex landscape for family office investments, characterized by heightened global uncertainty and an evolving interest rate backdrop. As central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve, navigate the aftermath of prolonged accommodative policies, family offices are recalibrating their investment strategies to adapt to these changes.
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The private credit asset class has developed and evolved significantly since the Global Financial Crisis. Accounting for $1.6 trillion across a wide range of risk and return profiles, it is cementing its importance and value in investor portfolios. This paper by Cambridge Associates describes why private credit can be attractive in any market, outlines the various sub-asset classes, and discusses the construction of a private credit portfolio and its implementation into a portfolio.
More than $80 trillion of wealth is expected to be transferred within families over the next two decades. Given the rise in wealth and aging populations globally, the number of family offices has surged to help guide succession planning and the transfer of assets. This brief outlook further highlights the investing trends impacting the path forward for families and family offices that is shifting as the next generation potentially reorients family goals toward qualitative objections (mission-driven) in addition to quantitative metrics (investment returns).
The 2024 U.S. Presidential election is set as a rematch between current President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump. Each candidate’s fiscal priorities have already been on display in their first terms and give insight into second-term agendas. This brief outlook by Asset Consulting Group compares their track records and the market impact, including the growing borrowing costs for the treasury that are putting a greater burden on the federal budget.
Join us as we unravel the events that shaped capital markets in 2023 and gain insights into the landscape of 2024. From the lasting impacts of the pandemic to geopolitical shifts and technological breakthroughs, we'll navigate through key themes, discuss potential opportunities, and share strategic portfolio considerations. Timothy F. McCusker, FSA, CFA, CAIA, Partner, Chief Investment Officer, NEPC
For most of the period from the Global Financial Crisis in 2008 through the end of the COVID pandemic in 2022, the Federal Reserve held interest rates near zero. As post-pandemic inflation surged in early 2022, the Federal Reserve began a rapid rate-hike cycle that ended in July 2023 with the Federal Funds Rate at 5.25% - 5.50%. As noted in this Investment Report, the yields above 5% attracted investors to money market funds as total assets grew approximately 20% in 2023 to more than $6 trillion.
The uneven historic GDP growth, deflation, and low corporate productivity have made Japan a tough market for investors. But given the strong performance in 2023, the Japanese market is changing. Starting with Abenomics more than a decade ago and the more recent initiatives by Japanese stock exchanges, the tangible changes in Japan are attracting investors once again.
Rising global rates, a strong U.S. dollar, and tightening liquidity conditions have weighed on sentiment in emerging markets (EMs). But EMs may be regaining their footing as easier monetary conditions could drive growth in 2024 for both equities and debt alike. Any recovery, however, is unlikely to be uniform. As a new cycle unfolds, we expect the heterogeneous dynamics and secular trends that drove performance in 2023 to continue to shape market terrain in 2024.
Sound money is the result when interest rates are above the rate of inflation, a development that is expected to persist in the years ahead. In the meantime, the transition to a higher interest rate environment has no doubt challenged investors, who have endured historical losses in bonds and high volatility in stocks. But make no mistake: This structural shift is the single best economic and financial development in the last 20 years. Looking forward and as shown in this report, investors will benefit from a return to sound money.
FOX’s annual Global Investment Survey was divided into two segments, launched in February and March 2023, respectively, to the FOX community. The surveys fielded until the end of April 2023. Please note that the 2023 FOX Global Investment Survey data pertains to investment activities and performance during calendar year 2022.