Most market updates are preoccupied with shorter-term phenomena and near-term concerns. However, today’s realities are best assessed through a longer-term lens—one based on the goal of generating attractive, or at least sufficient, compounded returns over decades rather than months, quarters, or even years. Great investment opportunities are rare, and an investor’s job is to recognize them when they occur and to avoid putting capital in harm’s way.
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In a recent venture market survey, entrepreneurs said they have lowered their valuation expectations and venture capitalists reported having slowed their investment pace. One of the most interesting questions in the survey was also most likely one of the hardest to answer: Which two metrics are most important when evaluating new investments today?
Investing in an organization or fund with the aim of generating social or environmental impact alongside a financial return is a concept that has been gaining wider appeal and attention in wealth management. Often known as impact investing, the concept has become an industry. The Global Impact Investing Network estimates impact investments totaled $60 billion in invested capital in 2015.
The first quarter may be an accurate forecast of the performance of risk assets for the entire year, which is likely to be one of a flat average and a wide range of individual monthly returns. After the initial five-week decline in risk asset prices, global stocks reversed their initial losses, high-yield bonds spreads tightened, and the CRB Commodities Index finished higher by the end of the quarter than at the beginning of the quarter. The latest pattern in risk assets is unstable, similar to previous market tumbles and rebounds.
Philanthropists from Europe, the United States, Asia, and the Middle East are approaching philanthropy in an innovative way and actively promote their causes. Interviews illustrate how they are trying to make a lasting change in terms of impact on the ground as well as the longevity of their charitable organizations. For many philanthropists, achieving a sustainable outcome is the second motivation, after the cause itself. And impact investing and collaborative philanthropy are considered as the top trends in achieving sustainable outcome.
Thank goodness the U.S. election is over so we can all stop slinging arrows at each other and get on with our lives for at least the next 18 months. America is divided, where roughly half the voters wanted him and the other half wanted her. America got him. So what does that mean if you are a private markets investor, especially if you are an impact/cleantech investor?
The U.S. president-elect’s victory and the Italian’s declination of reform in the waning months of 2016 was a final crescendo for a central theme of 2016, populism. Additionally, stresses in regions like the Middle East and East Asia were accompanied by growing inequality and unrest, while concerns over the refugee crisis and a snowballing income gap were key drivers in the result of the Brexit. Despite news headlines on these topics injecting volatility into the markets this year, the U.S. equity markets have remained surprisingly resilient.
Governments and individuals now have to deliver on the promises that they have made. In other words, the rhetoric of last year has to be translated into policy and investment reality. Investors may also have to get used to a world characterized not only by divergence, but also by a continued threat of disruption. We are living in a complex world but investors should not assume that events are so unpredictable as to be impossible to prepare for. Looking at the economic and political landscape, 10 key investment themes emerge for 2017.
Looking in the rear view mirror on the global markets—including the resurgence of populism, the Fed’s annual rate migration, and portfolio positioning—another up year is in the books for U.S. equities, with 2016 marking the eighth consecutive calendar year to have a positive total return on the S&P 500 Index. This time around the U.S. large capitalization index posted a resilient 11.95 percent total return with 2.41 percent coming from dividends and 9.5 percent from price appreciation.
President Trump was inaugurated into office last week amid rallies and protests lining the streets that continued into the weekend. In his first few days in office, Trump has already put forth executive orders to freeze new agency regulations, withdraw from the Trans-Pacific Partnership, and renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement. These actions will have strong effects on production and trade for the U.S. on a worldwide scale. While the domestic growth forecast may be notably improving, investors are on standby to determine which campaign assurances will become reality.