Investing is often focused on the shorter term. Only a few investors, with long-term capital, longterm incentives, and a long-term perspective can participate in long-term Thematic Investing: investing that is driven by the power of technological, demographic, and social/political change. We will explore some of the metrics that are driving Cybersecurity, Robotics, and the Internet of Things as long-term investment themes.
Investment Management
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2018 Annual Outlook: Peak Central Bank
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In 2017, investors experienced the best of all possible worlds—uncommon synchronized global growth, strong acceleration in corporate earnings and continuing unprecedented monetary support—that fueled capital market appreciation across the globe. However, investors face a looming milestone in 2018, as they approach Peak Central Bank. The U.S. is well into its monetary normalization phase and other countries will begin to follow. Will the impact of shrinking central bank balance sheets remove the support investors have enjoyed for nearly a decade?
From news out of Washington, to improving global growth and strong corporate profits, a number of factors could shape the markets in 2018, including the impact of the recent Tax Reform Bill may have on your portfolio. Christopher Hyzy, Chief Investment Officer for Bank of America Global Wealth & Investment Management, provides important insights into opportunities and risks in the coming year—and what it could all mean for you.
Food, Forests, Fuel, and Real Estate
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When looking beyond the short-term demand factors, there are several long-term secular themes that are positive for specialty assets. Most notably among them, growing populations, increasing spending power of the emerging market middle class, and rising urbanization.
First Quarter 2018 Outlook
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The set of factors and circumstances which together produced 2017's robust investment returns might be described as a "Goldilocks" scenario, one in which the positive forces pressing on the global economy and financial markets were warming noticeably, but not so hot already as to prompt dramatic cooling efforts from central bankers.
Supporting the Circular Economy Transition
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What will the world look like in 2040 if vital natural resources become scarce?
The 13th edition of the World Economic Forum's Global Risks Report, undertaken with Marsh & McLennan Companies, examines the evolving macro-level risk landscape and highlights the systematic threats that may disrupt expectations.
The 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act significantly affects the ability of the managers of investment funds to receive long-term capital gains with respect to their carried interest. Under current law, the manager of an investment fund can receive a “profits interest” (also known as a “carried interest” or a “promoted interest”) tax-free. In addition, there is a three-year hold requirement for carried interests.
2018 Economic Outlook
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In this annual session, we discussed the U.S. and global economic outlook, with a particular focus on growth prospects, interest rates, and risks. Furthermore, we explored equity valuations and take a critical look at the underlying assumptions that lead to conclusions of over or under-valuation.